Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL) Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 revenue of $83.3M grew 14% YoY and came in above guidance; ARR reached $335M (+16% YoY) with the highest net-new ARR in nearly three years .
- Dollar-based net retention improved to 104% and multi-product attach reached 67% of ARR, reflecting enterprise platform traction and cross-sell momentum .
- Management raised FY 2025 revenue guidance to $335.2–$338.2M (from $329.0–$333.0M) and guided Q3 revenue to $85.0–$87.0M; non-GAAP diluted EPS guided to $0.04–$0.08 for FY 2025 .
- Catalysts: raised FY guidance, record expansion deal activity, AI Agents beta launch, and recognition as a Leader in Forrester’s Digital Analytics Wave; near-term watch: gross margin compression tied to data ingestion and services investments .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Enterprise platform execution: strongest net-new ARR add in 11 quarters; customers ≥$100K ARR rose to 634 (+16% YoY) on broad-based enterprise expansions and platform consolidation wins .
- Improved retention and visibility: NRR rose to 104% (up 3 pts QoQ); RPO grew 31% YoY to $358.1M; management highlighted longer contract duration and shift to annual prepayments .
- Product and AI momentum: beta launch of AI Agents and acquisitions (Kraftful, Inari, June) to accelerate AI-native capabilities; “We believe Amplitude is the only company in digital analytics doing anything meaningful with AI today” — CEO Spenser Skates .
What Went Wrong
- Gross margin compression: GAAP gross margin fell to 72.6% (from 74.7% in Q1), with non-GAAP at 74.6%, driven by increased data ingestion costs, higher amortization of software development costs, and services investments .
- GAAP losses remain: GAAP loss from operations of $(27.1)M and GAAP net loss/share of $(0.19); non-GAAP operating loss of $(1.5)M, despite sequential revenue growth .
- Q3 net-new ARR expected to be “down slightly” sequentially as the company laps churn/downsell cohorts; trajectory still positive, but near-term net-new cadence moderated .
Financial Results
Core P&L and Cash Flow (oldest → newest)
Growth and KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Q2 was a strong quarter. We delivered the highest net-new ARR in nearly three years and saw record multi-product adoption.” — Spenser Skates, CEO .
- “Gross margin was impacted by increased data ingestion costs, higher amortization of software development costs, and an investment in professional services... a prelude to future revenues.” — Andrew Casey, CFO .
- “Customers with more than one product accounted for 67% of our total ARR, up from 64% last quarter and 55% in the second quarter last year.” — CFO .
- “We believe Amplitude is the only company in digital analytics doing anything meaningful with AI today.” — CEO .
- “We expect third quarter [net new ARR] to be down slightly... but our year-over-year growth rate should continue to accelerate slightly.” — CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- AI Agents monetization: Management focused first on customer value; confident in pricing power but not committing to near-term monetization specifics .
- Sales efficiency: Shift from transactional to value-oriented enterprise selling; territory coverage and pipeline conversion rigor driving platform-sized deals .
- RPO and contract duration: Platform upsells and multi-year strategic relationships lifting RPO; aiming to raise dollar-weighted duration from ~21 months toward 30+ months .
- Gross margins outlook: Short-term compression from services and hosting investments expected to support future upsells via higher data ingestion; long-term focus on margin expansion remains .
- Marketing analytics: Early but increasing full-stack replacement opportunities vs. legacy tools; multi-year growth lever .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025: Revenue consensus $81.32M* vs actual $83.27M — bold beat; EPS consensus $0.0079* vs actual $0.01 — bold beat .
- Q3 2025: Revenue consensus $86.29M* vs guidance $85.0–$87.0; EPS consensus $0.0142* vs guidance $(0.00)–$0.02 .
- FY 2025: Revenue consensus $342.19M* vs guidance $335.2–$338.2; estimates may need modest downward revision unless H2 outperformance materializes .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Detailed Estimates vs Actuals
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Raised FY revenue guidance signals confidence in enterprise platform strategy; watch Q3 net-new ARR cadence given management’s “down slightly” comment .
- Strong expansion and multi-product attach (67% of ARR) underpin NRR improvement to 104%; sustained platform upsells should support ARR growth .
- Near-term gross margin compression is investment-driven (hosting/services) to enable higher data ingestion and partner ecosystem; monitor margin trajectory into H2 .
- AI Agents and VoC integration (Kraftful) differentiate Amplitude’s analytics-to-action platform; potential monetization optionality over time .
- Cash generation inflected: Q2 operating cash flow $20.1M and FCF $18.2M; the shift to annual prepayments improves working capital .
- Consensus appears above FY guidance; unless sustained beats continue, expect estimate recalibration toward management’s range .
- Tactical: Positive beat-and-raise setup plus industry leadership recognition (Forrester) are supportive; watch services mix and data costs for GM stabilization .